Public perception of cold weather events as evidence for and against climate change

TitlePublic perception of cold weather events as evidence for and against climate change
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2013
AuthorsCapstick, S, Pidgeon, N
JournalClimatic Change
Start Page1
Pagination1-14
KeywordsCold weather, extreme events, public perceptions
Abstract

It has been argued that public doubts about climatechange have been exacerbated by coldweatherevents seen as a form of disconfirming evidence for anticipated 'warming'. Although a link between perceptions of climate and weather is well-established, such assumptions have not been empirically tested. Here we show, using nationally representative data, that directly following a period of severe coldweather in the UK, three times as many people saw these events as pointing towards the reality of climatechange, than as disconfirming it. This we argue was a consequence of these cold winters being incorporated into a conceptualisation of extreme or 'unnatural' weather resulting from climatechange. We also show that the way in which people interpret coldweather is associated with levels of pre-existing scepticism about climatechange, which is in turn related to more general worldviews. Drawing attention to 'extreme' weather as a consequence of climatechange can be a useful communication device, however this is problematic in the case of seasonal cold. © 2013 The Author(s).