Lessons from the history of technological change for clean energy scenarios and policies

TitleLessons from the history of technological change for clean energy scenarios and policies
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2011
AuthorsWilson, C, Grubler, A
JournalNatural Resources Forum
Volume35
Issue3
Start Page165
Pagination165-184
ISBN Number01650203
KeywordsEnergy, Innovation, policy, scenarios, Technology, Transitions
Abstract

This paper provides a synthesis of current knowledge on the patterns, drivers, and characteristics of historical energy technology transitions. This historical evidence is then compared to the treatment of energy system dynamics in the scenario analysis on climate mitigation. The paper concludes with a discussion of generic implications for clean energy and technology innovation policy. © 2011 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Natural Resources Forum © 2011 United Nations.