Avoided risks of global warming

Our research considers the risks of global warming associated with 1.5C to 4C degrees on behalf of BEIS, the client for this research.

We are supporting the UK’s international climate policy objective of increasing global ambition for mitigation to meet the internationally agreed long-term global temperature goal of the Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

Our analysis targets regions and countries of differing sizes, geographies, development, Brazil, China and India, and Egypt, Ethiopia and Ghana. We focus on in-country risk, including agriculture and food security, fluvial and coastal flooding, and direct and indirect economic impacts.

We are improving UK and international understanding of the implications of not meeting current nationally-determined contributions and failing to increase current mitigation pledges sufficiently to put the world on a pathway consistent with the long-term temperature goal. This project identifies the benefits and avoided impacts of stronger action for six countries important to international climate policy.

Funder: UK Department for Business, Enterprise and Industrial Strategy 

Contact at Tyndall UEA: Asher Minns.

Principal Investigator and Project Lead: Rachel Warren.

Here is a previous project for BEIS on 1.5C and 2C that fed to the UK’s contribution of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1.5C Special Report -  https://tyndall.ac.uk/afterparis

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