Selma Guerreiro

Newcastle University

Researcher in Hydrology and Climate Change

Research interests

  • Impacts of climate change
  • Water resources 
  • Droughts
  • Heat-waves
  • Intense rainfall


I am working on the INTENSE project ( which is exploring how rainfall extremes will respond to a warmer world, the effect of natural variability, and the implications for adaptation strategies. A global sub-daily observed precipitation dataset is being collated and the goal is to develop innovative downscaling approaches using information from high- and coarse-resolution climate models and process understanding from observations. 

Previously, I worked on the European research project RAMSES ( My contribution to the project was the development of a high-level analysis of the impacts of climate change on flooding, droughts and heat-waves in all European cities. This hazard assessment was combined with a vulnerability and exposure assessment in order to have an indication of the risk that climate change poses to European cities. 

For my PhD I assessed the “Future climate impacts on drought and water resources in international Iberian basins”. This encompassed: statistical analysis of observed historical rainfall for Iberia (Portugal and Spain); evaluation of future climate projections from CMIP5 climate models for Iberia and running the hydrological model SHETRAN to assess changes in flows.


Contact information