Katie Jenkins

Research Fellow

Katie is a research member of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, with over ten years’ experience working on various multidisciplinary projects with a focus on the integrated assessment of climate risks, social and economic impacts, and adaptation strategies. In particular, her research has focused on modelling direct and indirect social and economic impacts of extreme weather such as drought, extreme temperature, and fluvial and surface water flooding, and assessing consequences for adaptation strategies from an interdisciplinary perspective.

Katie is currently working on the OpenCLIM (Open CLimate IMpacts modelling framework) project, which aims to develop and apply a first UK integrated assessment for climate impacts and adaptation.



Prior to joining UEA in September 2020, Katie worked as a Senior Research Associate at the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), University of Oxford. Projects included the Tyndall ARCADIA consortium project, where she developed an urban climate impact model for London; the EU FP7 project ENHANCE, where she developed an Agent Based Model for assessing surface water flood risk, insurance mechanisms and flood risk management options; and MaRIUS, where she modelled the direct and indirect economic consequences of drought and water scarcity for the UK. Prior to this Katie completed her Ph.D. at the University of Cambridge modelling the economic and social impacts of drought events under future projections of climate change, and worked at the University of Cambridge at 4CMR (The Cambridge Centre for Climate Change Mitigation Research).


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Jenkins K, Dobson, B, Decker, C, Hall, JW (2021) An integrated framework for risk-based analysis of the economic impacts of drought and water scarcity in England and WalesWater Resources Research.

Wang, D., Jenkins, K., Forstenhäusler, N., Lei, T., Price, J., Warren, R., Jenkins, R., Guan, D. (2021). Economic impacts of climate-induced crop yield changes: Evidence from agri-food industries in six countries Climatic Change 166, article no. 30

Brown, S., Jenkins, K., Goodwin, P., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A. T., Tol, R. S. J., Jenkins, R., Warren, R., Nicholls, R. J., Jevrejeva, S., Sanchez Arcilla, A., Haigh, I. D.(2021). Global cost of protecting against sea level rise at 1.5 to 4°C Climatic Change 167, article no 4.

Yin, Z., Hu, Y., Jenkins, K., He, Y., Forstenhäusler, N., Warren, R., Yang, L., Jenkins, R., Gabo, D. (2021).  Assessing the economic impacts of future fluvial flooding in six countries under climate change and socio-economic development Climatic Change 166, article no 38.

Crick, F., Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., (2018) Strengthening insurance partnerships in the face of climate change – insights from an agent-based model of flood insurance in the UK. Science of the Total Environment. 636:192-204

Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J., Crick, F. (2017) Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: Insights from an Agent-Based Model. Science of The Total Environment. 595:159–168

Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Glenis, V., Kilsby, C. (2017) A probabilistic analysis of surface water flood risk in London. Risk Analysis. doi: 10.1111/risa.12930.

Jenkins, K. (2017). Improving climate resilience in the urban environment: Enhancing the uptake and use of building-scale to city-scale decision support models by policymakers and industry. UKCIP, University of Oxford.

Kingsborough, A., Jenkins, K. and Hall, J.W. (2017) Development and appraisal of long-term adaptation pathways for managing heat-risk in London. Climate Risk Management. 16:73-92

Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Glenis, V., Kilsby, C., McCarthy, M., Goodess, C., Smith, D., Malleson, N. and Birkin, M. (2014) Probabilistic spatial risk assessment of heat impacts and adaptations for London. Climatic Change, 124:105-117


Jenkins, K; Warren, Rachel

Quantifying the impact of climate change on drought regimes using the Standardised Precipitation Index Journal Article

In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 120 , pp. 41-54, 2015.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX


Smith, D; Birkin, M; Malleson, N; Jenkins, K; Hall, JW; Glenis, V; Kilsby, CG; McCarthy, M; Goodess, CG

Probabilistic spatial risk assessment of heat impacts and adaptations for London Journal Article

In: Climatic Change, 2014.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX