Jeff Price


I am the leader of the Humboldt Initiative for Sustainable Ecosystems and Livelihoods and the coordinator of the Wallace Initiative ( a multi-institutional partnership examining the projected impacts of climate change on terrestrial biodiversity. To date, we have developed models on ~125,000 terrestrial fungi, plants, invertebrates and vertebrates. One of the goals of this project is to provide guidance as to what areas may remain refugia (i.e., remain climatically suitable for >75% of the species modelled in the area) or are best suitable (climatically) for restoration under warming levels 0f 1.5C – 6C at a spatial resolution of 1 km. Analyses of these data have been used to help advise on potential climate impacts to reserves and protected areas in the United Kingdom, Amazon, Madagascar and globally for a variety of NGOs.  Wallace’s Parcs have used these data to prepare a report on the observed and projected climate changes, the observed land cover change, the observed and projected population change and the projected biodiversity changes for every terrestrial projected area on Earth, by country.  These will be released as a series of Tyndall Papers starting later in 2020.

Successful sustainable long-term development in a dynamic, changing climate requires more proactive planning – taking into account food security, water security, energy security, ecosystem security and infrastructure security. Previously, Governments and Civil Society have largely been reactive. Changing the way groups work together, plan together and prepare together will be essential in a climate changed world.