Felipe Colon Gonzalez

Visiting Researcher

I am a Tyndall Centre alumnus. My main are of expertise lies on understanding the role of climatic, environmental and socio-economic factors on the spatio-temporal dynamics of climate-sensitive diseases.

In 2008, I graduated from the UEA with an MSc in Environmental Sciences. In 2013, I obtained a PhD in Environmental Sciences from the UEA. My PhD thesis focused on the role of climate and climate change on the risk of dengue transmission in Mexico. From 2012-2015, I worked as a Postdoctoral Fellow at the International Centre for Theoretical Physics in Trieste, Italy investigating the effects of climatic, environmental and socioeconomic factors on malaria transmission in Eastern Africa. I also worked with the Ministries of Health of Uganda and Rwanda in the development of a high-resolution, malaria forecasting system. I participated in several FP7 Consortia (QWECI, Healthy Futures, Responses) providing technical expertise on statistical disease modelling. From 2015 to Jan 2019, I was a Senior Research Associate at the University of East Anglia working on the development of statistical and machine learning decision support tools for syndromic surveillance in England. My work has influenced how syndromic surveillance is conducted in England. I have worked with Public Health England in several Health Protection Research Units providing expertise in statistical disease modelling.

Currently, I work at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine contributing the development of a climate-driven dengue early warning system for Vietnam. I am a Visiting Academic at the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia and the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.


  • Selected
  • Other


  • Jones NR, Agnew M, Banic I, Grossi CM, Colón-González FJ, Plavec D, Goodess CM, Epstein MM, Turkalj M, Lake IR (2019) Ragweed pollen and allergic symptoms in children: Results from a three-year longitudinal study Science of the Total Environment 683:240-248
  • Hunter PR, Colón-González FJ, Brainard J, Majuru B, Pedrazzoli D, Abubakar I, Dinsa G, Suhrcke M, Stuckler D, Lim T-A, et al. (2019) Can economic indicators predict infectious disease spread? A cross-country panel analysis of 13 European countries. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health. 1403494819852830
  • Lake IR, Colón-González FJ, Barker GC, Morbey RA, Smith GE, Elliot AJ. Machine learning to refine decision making within a syndromic surveillance service (2019). BMC Public Health 19(1):559
  • Lake IR, Colón-González FJ, Takkinen J, Rossi M, Sudre B, Dias JG, Tavoschi L, Joshi A, Semenza JC, Nichols G. Exploring Campylobacter seasonality across Europe using The European Surveillance System (TESSy), 2008 to 2016. (2019) Eurosurveillance 24(13):1800028.
  • Djennad A, Lo Iacono G, Sarran C, Lane C, Elson R, Höser C, Lake IR, Colón-González FJ, Kovats S, Semenza JC, et al. Seasonality and the effects of weather on Campylobacter infections (2019). BMC Infectious Diseases 19(1):255.
  • Noufaily A, Morbey RA, Colón-González FJ, Elliot AJ, Smith GE, Lake IR, McCarthy N. Comparison of statistical algorithms for daily syndromic surveillance aberration detection (2019). Bioinformatics 35(17):e4.
  • Tompkins AM, Colón-González FJ, Di Guseppe F, Namanya DB (2019). Dynamical malaria forecasts are skillful at regional and local scales in Uganda up to 4 months ahead GeoHealth 3(3):58-66.


  • Colón-González FJ, Harris I, Osborn TJ, Bernardo CSS, Peres CA, Hunter PR, Warren R, Van Vuuren D, Lake IR (2018) Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5-2 °C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA  115(24): 6243-6248
  • Hughes HE, Colón-González FJ, Fouillet A, Elliot AJ, Caserio-Schonemann C, Hughes TC, Gallagher N, Morbey RA, Smith GE, Thomas DR, et al. (2018) The influence of a major sporting event upon emergency department attendances; A retrospective cross-national European study. PloS one 13(6):e0198665
  • Colón-González FJ, Lake IR, Morbey RA, Elliot AJ, Pebody R, Smith GE. A methodological framework for the evaluation of syndromic surveillance systems: a case study of England (2018). BMC Public Health 18(1):544


  • Colón-González FJ, Peres CA, Steiner São Bernardo C, Hunter PR, Lake IR. After the epidemic: Zika virus projections for Latin America and the Caribbean (2017). PLoS neglected tropical diseases 11(11):e0006007
  • Elliot AJ, Morbey R, Edeghere O, Lake IR, Colón-González FJ, Vivancos R, Rubin GJ, O’Brien SJ, Smith GE (2017). Developing a Multidisciplinary Syndromic Surveillance Academic Research Program in the United Kingdom: Benefits for Public Health Surveillance. Public health reports 132(1_supp):111S-115S.


  • Colón-González FJ, Tompkins AM, Biondi R, Bizimana JP, Namanya DB (2016) Assessing the effects of air temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence: an epidemiological study across Rwanda and Uganda. Geospatial Health, 11:18-37.


  • Bouzid M, Colón-González FJ, Lung T, Lake IR, Hunter PR (2014). Climate change and the emergence of vector-borne diseases in Europe: case study of dengue fever. BMC Public Health 14:781.
  • Schewe J, Heinke J, Gerten D, Haddeland I, Arnell NW, Clark DB, Dankers R, Eisner S, Fekete BM, Colón-González FJ, et al (2014). Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA .111(9):3245-3250.
  • Piontek F, Mueller C, Pugh TAM, Clark DB, Deryng D, Elliott J, Colón-González FJ, Floerke M, Folberth C, Franssen W, et al (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 111(9):3233-3238
  • Caminade C, Kovats S, Rocklov J, Tompkins AM, Morse AP, Colón-González FJ, Stenlund H, Martens P, Lloyd SJ. (2014) Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 111(9):3286-3291.


  • Colón-González FJ, Fezzi C, Lake IR, Hunter PR (2013). The Effects of Weather and Climate Change on Dengue. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 7(11):e2503.


  • Colón-González FJ, Lake IR, Bentham G (2011). Climate Variability and Dengue Fever in Warm and Humid Mexico. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 84(5):757-763.


Todkill, Dan; de Jesus Colon Gonzalez, Felipe; Morbey, Roger; Charlett, Andre; Hajat, Shakoor; Kovats, Sari; Osborne, Nicholas J; McInnes, Rachel; Vardoulakis, Sotiris; Exley, Karen; Edeghere, Obaghe; Smith, Gillian; Elliot, Alex J

Environmental factors associated with general practitioner consultations for allergic rhinitis in London, England: a retrospective time series analysis Journal Article

In: BMJ Open, 10 (12), 2020, ISSN: 2044-6055.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Hunter, Paul; Gonzalez, Felipe De Jesus Colon; Brainard, Julii; Majuru, Batsirai; Pedrazzoli, Debora; Abubakar, Ibrahim; Dinsa, Girmaye; Suhrcke, Marc; Stuckler, David; Lim, Tek-Ang; Semenza, Jan C

Can economic indicators predict infectious disease spread? A cross-country panel analysis of 13 European countries. Journal Article

In: Scandinavian journal of public health. Supplement, 48 (4), pp. 351–361, 2020, ISSN: 1403-4956.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX


Piontek, Franziska; Müller, Christoph; Pugh, Thomas A M; Clark, Douglas B; Deryng, D; Elliott, Joshua; de Colón González, Felipe Jesus; Flörke, Martina; Folberth, Christian; Franssen, Wietse; Frieler, Katja; Friend, Andrew D; Gosling, Simon N; Hemming, Deborah; Khabarov, Nikolay; Kim, Hyungjun; Lomas, Mark R; Masaki, Yoshimitsu; Mengel, Matthias; Morse, Andrew; Neumann, Kathleen; Nishina, Kazuya; Ostberg, Sebastian; Pavlick, Ryan; Ruane, Alex C; Schewe, Jacob; Schmid, Erwin; Stacke, Tobias; Tang, Qiuhong; Tessler, Zachary D; Tompkins, Adrian M; Warszawski, Lila; Wisser, Dominik; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world Journal Article

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111 (9), pp. 3233-3238, 2014.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX