A slow growth in fossil CO2 emissions is projected for 2019, at +0.6% (range: –0.2 to +1.5%)1. The 2019 growth is slower than over the past two years, with +1.5% in 2017 and +2.1% in 2018. A decline in global emissions in 2019 cannot be ruled out given uncertainties in the projection.
The lower growth rate in emissions in 2019 is due to different factors, including 1) substantial declines in coal use in the United States and the European Union (EU28), 2) weaker economic growth and lower growth in electricity demand in China, 3) weaker economic growth combined with a strong monsoon in India, 4) weaker economic growth globally.