Tyndall’s cutting-edge and integrated-modelling synthesises a range of ‘specialised’ models on climate science, emissions and impacts to provide a “global integrated analysis of climate change and its consequences”.
The integrated models we develop are the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS) and an Energy-Environment-Economy (E3) Model at the Global level (E3MG), which is linked with other models into CIAS. The specific objectives are:
• to work with the GENIE consortium to ensure that CIAS has access to state-of-the-art intermediate complexity representations of the Earth System, and with the Hadley Centre to include their FAMOUS model in the CIAS's climate model portfolio;
• to include new modules representing global-scale and distributed impacts of climate change on natural and social systems along with other programmes and external collaborators, and to ensure feedbacks from these impacts with the climate system and with the global economy are represented dynamically in CIAS;
• to use CIAS and E3MG to undertake a multi-criteria analysis of the implications of alternative stabilisation scenarios as an alternative to conventional monetised cost-benefit analysis and as a way of providing a wider and better treatment of the uncertainties;
• to explore using CIAS and E3MG, the opportunities for sustainable development presented by the switch to low-carbon technologies.