With the probability that global temperature rise can be kept below the 2°C target continuing to diminish, citizens as well as economic and political decision makers need to engage with knowledge about the likelihood and implications of severe future impacts, and the scale of mitigation required to avoid them, the likes of which few want to hear. This working paper reflects on the challenges and offers guidance for the way ahead.
University of East Anglia
Role at Tyndall
My research interests focus on climate policy and politics, especially in the context of the European Union and the UK. I also maintain an interest in the role of policy appraisal and evaluation in environmental and climate policy processes.
Since 2006 I have been involved in several projects (both EU- and national research council-funded). Since December 2016 I have been Principal Investigator on COP 21-RIPPLES (Results, Implications, Pathways and Policies for Low-Emissions European Societies), working to assess the adequacy of the Paris Agreement for effective international climate governance, and the EU’s role therein. Currently I am also UK partner in the Norwegian Research Council-funded REMIX project (Revising the National Renewables Policy Mix: the Role of State Aid and other EU policies).
From 2010 to 2013 I was a work package leader on the RESPONSES project (European responses to climate change: deep emissions reductions and mainstreaming of mitigation and adaptation). From 2014 to 2015 I was co-leader of the Risk, Regulation and Governance work package of the EUTRACE (European Trans-disciplinary Assessment of Climate Engineering) project.
European and UK Climate Policy and Governance
Rayner, T. and B. Moore (2016). ‘How the UK can still lead on climate change – even after Brexit’. July 4th 2016. https://theconversation.com/how-the-uk-can-still-lead-on-climate-change-... (republished eg. by The Ecologist).
Rayner, T. (2016). ‘Cut out: Brexit would put the EU’s efforts to cut carbon emissions at risk’. April 2016. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexitvote/2016/04/20/cut-out-brexit-would-put-th...
Rayner, T. and A. Jordan (2015). ‘Is the EU’s commitment to the 2°C target unravelling?’ Environmental Europe. http://environmentaleurope.ideasoneurope.eu/2015/03/31/eus-commitment-2c...
Rayner, T. and Jordan, A. (2017). The United Kingdom: a record of leadership under threat, in R. Wurzel, J. Connelly and D. Liefferink (eds.). The European Union in International Climate Change Politics. Still Taking a Lead? London: Routledge (Chapter).
Rayner, T., Moore, B. (2016) The EU Referendum and the UK Environment: An Expert Review (Climate Policy) UEA Repository (Chapter).
Rayner, T. and Jordan, A. (2016) Climate Change Policy in the European Union. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science, August 2016, pp 1-31. DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.47. http://climatescience.oxfordre.com/view/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.0...
Jordan, A. J., Huitema, D., Hildén, M., van Asselt, H., Rayner, T. J., Schoenefeld, J. J., Tosun, J., Forster, J., Boasson, E. L. (2015) Emergence of polycentric climate governance and its future prospects Full Text UEA Repository (Article)
Berkhout, F., Bouwer, L. M., Bayer, J., Bouzid, M., Cabeza, M., Hanger, S., Hof, A., Hunter, P., Meller, L., Patt, A., Pfluger, B., Rayner, T., Reichardt, K., van Teeffelen, A. (2015) European policy responses to climate change: progress on mainstreaming emissions reduction and adaptation Full Text UEA Repository (Article)
Turnpenny, J., Jordan, A., Benson, D., Rayner, T. (2015) The tools of policy formulation: an introduction. Full Text (Chapter (peer-reviewed)
Massey, E., D. Huitema, H. Garrelts, K. Grecksch, H. Mees, T. Rayner, S. Storbjörk, K. Termeer and M. Winges (2015). ‘Handling adaptation governance choices in Sweden, Germany, the UK and the Netherlands’, Journal of Water and Climate Change 6(1): 9-24 (article).
Rayner, T., Minns, A. (2015) The challenge of communicating unwelcome climate messages
Turnpenny, J., Russel, D., Rayner, T.(2013) The complexity of evidence for sustainable development policy: Analysing the boundary work of the UK parliamentary environmental audit committee Full Text UEA Repository (Article)
Jordan, A., Rayner, T., Schroeder, H., Adger, N., Anderson, K., Bows, A., Le Quéré, C., Joshi, M., Mander, S., Vaughan, N., Whitmarsh, L. (2013) Going beyond two degrees? The risks and opportunities of alternative options Full Text UEA Repository (Article)
Huitema, D., Jordan, A., Massey, E., Rayner, T., Asselt, H., Haug, C., Hildingsson, R., Monni, S., Stripple, J. (2011) The evaluation of climate policy: Theory and emerging practice in Europe Full Text UEA Repository (Article)
Phone: +44 (0)1603 593905
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research ZICER, School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ United Kingdom